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Understanding Extreme Geohazards: The Science of the Disaster Risk Management Cycle
European Science Foundation Conference
November 28 to December 1, 2011, Sant Feliu de Guixols, Spain
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CONFERENCE PROGRAMME
Sunday, November 27, 2011
| 1600 - 1830: | Arrival/Registration |
| 1930 - 2000: | Welcome Drinks |
| 2000 - 2130: | Dinner |
Monday, November 28, 2011
| 0900 - 1045: | Opening Session. Co-Chairs: Stuart Marsh and Hans-Peter Plag |
| 0900 - 0905: | Hans-Peter Plag: Opening (text; video) |
| 0905 - 0925: | ESF (Paola Campus) : The European Science Foundation (presentation; video) |
| 0925 - 0935: | UNESCO (Robert Missotten): Welcoming address (video of the welcoming notes) |
| 0935 - 0945: | GEO (Francesco Gaetani): Welcoming address (address) |
| 0945 - 0955: | ICSU (Jane Rovins) : Welcoming address (address) |
| 0955 - 1000: | IGCP 585 (Roger Urgeles): Welcoming address (text) |
| 1000 - 1045: | Keynote Seth Stein, Robert Geller, Mian Liu: Bad Assumptions or Bad Luck: Why Natural Hazard Maps Fail and What To Do About It? (Abstract; presentation, ppt; video) |
| 1445 - 1600: | Session 2: Preparing for the extreme: quantifying the probabilities and uncertainties of extreme hazards. Co-Chairs: Roger Urgeles and Daniela Pantosti |
| 1445 - 1520: | Invited Ivan Wong: How Big, How Bad, How Often: Are Extreme Events Accounted for in Modern Seismic Hazard Analyses? (abstract; presentation, pptx; video) |
| 1520 - 1550: | Invited Carl Bonnevie Harbitz: Tsunamis caused by submarine landslides (abstract; presentation, pdf; video) |
| 1550 - 1600: | Discussion: How can science better address the uncertainties of the extreme events? See Questions/Statements. |
| 1630 - 1800: | Session 3: Preparing for the extreme: costs of preparation versus costs of disasters. Co-Chairs: Alik Ismail-Zadeh and Robert Muir-Wood |
| 1630 - 1700: | Invited Gero Michel: Understanding and Managing Extreme Event Risk: The Insurance Industry (abstract; presentation, pptx; video)
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| 1700 - 1720: | Maria Bostenaru Dan: The economic impact of seismic retrofit on heritage buildings with historic reinforced concrete skeleton structure of the interwar time (abstract; presentation, ppt; video)
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| 1720 - 1740: | Shelley-Ann Jules-Plag and Hans-Peter Plag: Are building codes consistent with our evolving knowledge of geohazards? (abstract; presentation,ppt; video)
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| 1740 - 1800: | Youcef Bouhadad: Occurrence and impact of characteristic earthquakes in northern Algeria (abstract; presentation, pdf)
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Tuesday, November 29, 2011
| 0900 - 1045: | Session 4: Predicting increased risks for extreme hazards: earthquakes . Co-Chairs: Gero Michel and Rui Pinho |
| 0900 - 0930: | Invited Alik Ismail-Zadeh: Modeling and Predicting Extreme Seismic Events (Abstract; presentation, ppt; video) |
| 0930 - 0950: | Álvaro González: Empirical forecasts of the occurrence of earthquakes in space (Abstract, ; video) |
| 0950 - 1010: | Suleyman Sami Nalbant: Long-term stress modelling: Implications for large earthquake forecasting (Abstract; video) |
| 1015 - 1045: | Discussion: Towards a time-variable view on probability? See Questions/Statements. |
| 1115 - 1300: | Session 5: Predicting increased risks for extreme hazards: volcanoes and landslides. Co-Chairs: Brian Mc Adoo and Carl B. Harbitz |
| 1115 - 1145: | Invited Roger Urgeles, A. Camerlenghi, F. Palmer: Controls, timing, and characteristics of submarine landslides in the Mediterranean area as an example of science support for preparedness (abstract; presentation, pdf; video) |
| 1145 - 1230: | Keynote Dario Tedesco: Analysis and prevention of natural hazards in DRC: A UNOPS Pilot Project (abstract; presentation, ppt; video) |
| 1230 - 1300: | Discussion: How safe are sleeping volcanoes? See Questions/Statements. |
| 1300 - 1430: | Lunch |
| 1430 - 1830: | Excursion |
| 1900 - 2100: | Dinner |
Wednesday, November 30, 2011
| 0900 - 1045: | Session 6: Knowing the hazards and the potential disasters. Co-Chairs: Ron Harris and Marino Protti |
| 0900 - 0940: | Paraskevi Nomikou, S. Carey, D. Papanikolaou, K. Croff Bell, D. Sakellariou, M. Alexandri, K. Bejelou: Volcanic Hazard in the Kolumbo Submarine Volcanic Zone NE of Santorini Island (abstract, presentation, pdf; video) |
| 0940 - 1010: | Efthymios K. Tripsanas, Aristomenis P. Karageorgis, Christos Anagnostou, Vasilis Lykousis, Dimitris Sakelariou: Quaternary volcanic eruptions of the Santorini Island and associated gravity flow deposits in the Cretan Basin, South Aegean Sea (abstract; presentation, ppt; video) |
| 1010 - 1030: | Thomas Oommen: Challenges in Sampling Extreme Events: A Case Study of Probabilistic Earthquake-Induced Liquefaction Hazard Evaluation (abstract; presentation, pdf; video) |
| 1030 - 1045: | Discussion: Steps to close the gaps? |
| 1115 - 1300: | Session 7: Early warnings before and during the event. Co-Chairs: Massimo Cocco and Antonella Peresan |
| 1115 - 1200: | Invited Jörn Lauterjung: Tsunami Early Warning: Some Thoughts and Lessons learned (presentation, ppt; video) |
| 1200 - 1230: | Marino Protti and Víctor González: An Earthquake Early Warning System For Vulnerable Essential Facilities: The Example of A Potential Implementation for central Costa Rica from a large earthquake in the Nicoya, Seismic Gap (abstract; presentation, pptx; video) |
| 1230 - 1300: | Discussion: Steps towards improved early warning |
| 1430 - 1600: | Session 8: Assessing the disaster: the first few hours. Co-Chairs: Jörn Lauterjung and Dario Tedesco |
| 1430 - 1500: | Invited Rongjiang Wang: On the Complementary of High-Rate GPS and Strong-Motion Observations: A Case Study on the Near-Field Deformation Data for the 2011 Mw 9.0 Tohoku-Oki Earthquake (abstract; presentation, pptx; video) |
| 1500 - 1600: | Panel Discussion: Improving rapid disaster assessments. Participants: Brian McAdoo, Robert Muir-Wood, Jane Rovins, Seth Stein, Rongjiang Wang |
Thursday, December 1, 2011
| 0900 - 1045: | Session 10: Learning from disasters: science support for recovery and preparedness. Co-Chairs: Rongjiang Wang and Sarah Gaines |
| 0900 - 0920: | M. Khaleghy Rad and S.G. Evans: The reliability of a natural hazard system (abstract; presentation, pptx; video) |
| 0920 - 0940: | Anna Vigorito: Natural disasters and cultural heritage: International risk prevention and management strategies (abstract; presentation, ppt; video) |
| 0940 - 1045: | Panel Discussion: obstacles for disaster reduction through informed recovery, or why we don't learn as much as we could from disasters. Participants: Dario Tedesco, Ron Harris, Robert Muir-Wood. See Questions/Statements. |
| 1115 - 1300: | Session 11: Science support for disaster reduction programs. Co-Chairs: Roger Bilham and Mona Khaleghy Rad |
| 1115 - 1145: | Invited Antonella Peresan: Seismic Hazard Assessments: current issues and advanced approaches for effective Disaster Reduction (abstract; presentation, pdf; video) |
| 1145 - 1215: | Invited Jane Rovins: The Integrated Research on Disaster Risk (IRDR) programme (presentation, ppt; video) |
| 1215 - 1245: | Invited Massimo Cocco: Responsibility and liability of scientists: the case of the L'Aquila earthquake (abstract; presentation, pptx; video) |
| 1245 - 1300: | Discussion: the role of science in disaster reduction: can it include a degree of liability? |
| 1430 - 1600: | Session 12: Building infrastructure in support of disaster reduction. Francesco Gaetani and Robert Missotten |
| 1430 - 1510: | Invited Rui Pinho: The Global Earthquake Model project: a contribution to disaster risk management and disaster reduction (abstract; presentation, pdf; video) |
| 1510 - 1540: | Hans-Peter Plag, Francesco Gaetani, Stuart Marsh: GEOSS: Services Supporting Hazard Assessments and Disaster Reduction (presentation, ppt; video; GEOSS poster) |
| 1540 - 1610: | Sunitha Kuppuswamy: Information and Communication Technologies for Disaster and Development Communication in India (abstract) |
Friday, December 2, 2011
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